France is amid its most important elections in years, with a potential historic victory for the far-right National Rally (RN). Nonetheless, this will likely lead to a political deadlock, allowing an anti-immigration party led by Marine Le Pen and Jordan Bardella to run the government and take over the control of the National Assembly for the first time.
A First Opportunity for National Rally
In the recent snap parliamentary elections, the RN scored success in the first round, prompting more than 200 opponents to withdraw in an effort to prevent a far-right win. Voting started in mainland France at 08:00 (06:00 GMT), and exit polls are expected after another twelve hours.
Macron’s Dilemma
It is difficult to imagine Emmanuel Macron coming out of this election scenario well, regardless of what happens. President Macron’s decision to call the snap vote was directly related to RN’RNRN’RN’srformanceuring the European elections, which Jordan BaBaBardella’sebelliousnessSet preceded up against the backdrop of preparations for the Paris Olympics on July 26; this two-round voting has added another layer of political tension and security fears, with 30,000 police officers deployed across France.
The State Security and Popular Feeling
This raised concerns about potential violence regardless of what happens next week. The planned demonstration of the French Assembly was banned, revealing how intense things have gotten. In Dreux—a small town en route to Normandy—instead of politics and campaigns, locals are focused on the arrival of the Olympic flame that coincided with these events.
Backlash from Critics
Nicolas Baverez, a seasoned commentator, accused President Macron of jeopardizing his term. Interfering with smooth preparation for the Paris 2024 Olympics. Citing a possible negative effect on the international reputation of the French Nation. This particular constituency covering Dreux is one among several key battles. With candidates like Marine Le Pen or Jordan Bardella having already taken their seats after securing over half of the votes cast.
Blocking National Election Hopes
Over 217 candidates across France have withdrawn to prevent an RN victory, which would have influenced the results. Projections show that RNs could be in the National Assembly, though final opinion polls suggest otherwise. On the other hand, it is unclear whether RN may manage to form a government, and Prof. Armin Steinbach from HEC Business School expects a possible vote of no confidence should they decide to govern.
Potential Alliances
Another possibility is to combine all other parties, excluding France “bowed (LFI), i” o a “grand coal “to” This idea has “gained traction. Regardless of what happens in the election, Greens leader Marine Tondelier has made it clear. She will never support any Macronist prime minister.
This critical election comes as tension and uncertainty in France’s character politic France significantly affecting its future direction.
